Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7452; (P) 0.7493; (R1) 0.7523; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is back on the downside with break of 0.7443 support. Fall from 0.7890 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.8006. Deeper fall would be seen to 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7530 from 0.7890 at 0.7414. But we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. Break of 0.7589 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. However, sustained break of 0.7414 will argue it’s at least in larger scale correction, and target 161.8% projection at 0.7120 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.5506 medium term bottom could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. Rejection by 0.8135 key resistance, followed by firm break of 0.7413 resistance turned support, will favors the latter case. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.7051 first.



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