Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7402; (P) 0.7446; (R1) 0.7476; More…

Focus is now on 0.7143/4 key support in AUD/USD. We’d still expect this to hold to complete the correction from 0.8006. On the upside, break of 0.7598 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.7890/8006 resistance zone. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.7414 will argue it’s at least in larger scale correction, and target 161.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7530 from 0.7890 at 0.7120 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.5506 medium term bottom could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. Rejection by 0.8135 key resistance, followed by firm break of 0.7413 resistance turned support, will favors the latter case. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.7051 first.

Source link