EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation from 0.8861 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Another fall is expected as long as 0.9068 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 0.8866 key support will indicate that rebound from 0.8670 has completed at 0.9291. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.8670, to extend the pattern from 0.9499. On the upside, however, firm break of 0.9068 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9291 resistance.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. Decisive break of 0.9499 will target 0.9799 (2008 high).

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In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.



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