EUR/GBP dipped to 0.8587 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Break of 0.8718 minor resistance will resume the rebound from 0.8470, for 38.2% retracement of 0.9291 to 0.8470 at 0.8784. On the downside, break of 0.8587 will bring retest of 0.8470 low instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing the price actions from 0.9499 as developing into a corrective pattern. That is, up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low) would resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8276 support holds. However, firm break of 0.8276 support will suggest that rise from 0.6935 has completed and turn medium term outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is still in progress. It could be resuming long term up trend from 0.5680 (2000 low). Break of 0.9799 (2008 high) is expected down the road, as long as 0.8276 support holds.



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